AMBAC Financial Group Inc (AMBC) Stock: A Value Analysis

The price-to-earnings ratio for AMBAC Financial Group Inc (NYSE: AMBC) is 4.52x, which is above its average ratio. Moreover, the 36-month beta value for AMBC is 0.93. Analysts have varying opinions on the stock, with 1 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 1 as “overweight,” 0 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”

The public float for AMBC is 46.49M and currently, short sellers hold a 5.97% of that float. On May 13, 2025, AMBC’s average trading volume was 1.22M shares.

AMBC) stock’s latest price update

The stock price of AMBAC Financial Group Inc (NYSE: AMBC) has plunged by -21.44 when compared to previous closing price of 8.35, but the company has seen a -19.11% decline in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-05-13 that Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 13, 2025 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Claude LeBlanc – President and Chief Executive Officer David Trick – Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer Charles Sebaski – Head of Investor Relations Conference Call Participants Maxwell Fritscher – Truist Securities Operator Greetings! And welcome to the Ambac Financial Group, Inc., First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call.

AMBC’s Market Performance

AMBAC Financial Group Inc (AMBC) has seen a -19.11% fall in stock performance for the week, with a 0.15% gain in the past month and a -44.17% plunge in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 3.89%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 3.81% for AMBC. The simple moving average for the last 20 days is -15.51% for AMBC stock, with a simple moving average of -39.06% for the last 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of AMBC

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for AMBC stocks, with ROTH MKM repeating the rating for AMBC by listing it as a “Buy.” The predicted price for AMBC in the upcoming period, according to ROTH MKM is $15 based on the research report published on September 18, 2024 of the previous year 2024.

Compass Point, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see AMBC reach a price target of $18. The rating they have provided for AMBC stocks is “Buy” according to the report published on August 09th, 2023.

Compass Point gave a rating of “Neutral” to AMBC, setting the target price at $18 in the report published on November 28th of the previous year.

AMBC Trading at -18.27% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought AMBC to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -64.35% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 3.81%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 3.89%, as shares sank -6.00% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -32.58% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, AMBC fell by -22.69%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by -50.51% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $7.75. In addition, AMBAC Financial Group Inc saw -48.14% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at AMBC starting from Matus Kristi Ann, who purchase 6,300 shares at the price of $11.16 back on Sep 27 ’24. After this action, Matus Kristi Ann now owns 9,000 shares of AMBAC Financial Group Inc, valued at $70,308 using the latest closing price.

Matus Kristi Ann, the Director of AMBAC Financial Group Inc, purchase 2,700 shares at $11.27 during a trade that took place back on Sep 26 ’24, which means that Matus Kristi Ann is holding 2,700 shares at $30,429 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for AMBC

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.01 for the present operating margin
  • 1.0 for the gross margin

The net margin for AMBAC Financial Group Inc stands at -2.36. The total capital return value is set at 0.0. Equity return is now at value 2.04, with 0.29 for asset returns.

Based on AMBAC Financial Group Inc (AMBC), the company’s capital structure generated 0.15 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.02. The debt to equity ratio resting at 0.18. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 0.04.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is -30.52 million with net debt to EBITDA at -3.87. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 1.85. The receivables turnover for the company is 0.56for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.03. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.37.

Conclusion

To wrap up, the performance of AMBAC Financial Group Inc (AMBC) has been bad in recent times. The stock has received a bullish of “buy” and “hold” ratings from analysts. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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