Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Shares Decline Despite Market Challenges

The stock price of Upstart Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: UPST) has plunged by -1.59 when compared to previous closing price of 47.93, but the company has seen a -5.81% decline in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. fool.com reported 2025-05-09 that The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.58%) has tumbled 4% year to date as President Trump’s unorthodox trade policies have sown economic uncertainty. Companies are still spending money on artificial intelligence, but certain Wall Street recommend selling Palantir Technologies (PLTR 8.01%) and Upstart Holdings (UPST 3.23%), as detailed below:

Is It Worth Investing in Upstart Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: UPST) Right Now?

The 36-month beta value for UPST is at 2.38. Analysts have varying views on the stock, with 4 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 2 rating it as “overweight,” 7 as “hold,” and 1 as “sell.”

The public float for UPST is 82.52M, and currently, shorts hold a 28.35% of that float. The average trading volume for UPST on May 12, 2025 was 7.32M shares.

UPST’s Market Performance

UPST’s stock has seen a -5.81% decrease for the week, with a 9.34% rise in the past month and a -31.49% fall in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 8.01%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 6.86% for Upstart Holdings Inc The simple moving average for the past 20 days is 3.83% for UPST’s stock, with a -11.47% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of UPST

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for UPST stocks, with BofA Securities repeating the rating for UPST by listing it as a “Neutral.” The predicted price for UPST in the upcoming period, according to BofA Securities is $53 based on the research report published on April 29, 2025 of the current year 2025.

Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see UPST reach a price target of $70, previously predicting the price at $12. The rating they have provided for UPST stocks is “Equal-Weight” according to the report published on February 14th, 2025.

JP Morgan gave a rating of “Neutral” to UPST, setting the target price at $79 in the report published on February 12th of the current year.

UPST Trading at -1.00% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought UPST to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -51.08% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 6.86%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 8.01%, as shares surge +22.36% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -29.31% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, UPST fell by -5.81%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +70.72% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $45.43. In addition, Upstart Holdings Inc saw -23.39% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at UPST starting from Darling Scott, who sale 1,000 shares at the price of $50.27 back on Apr 29 ’25. After this action, Darling Scott now owns 150,129 shares of Upstart Holdings Inc, valued at $50,270 using the latest closing price.

Darling Scott, the Chief Legal Officer of Upstart Holdings Inc, sale 1,000 shares at $50.16 during a trade that took place back on May 01 ’25, which means that Darling Scott is holding 150,129 shares at $50,157 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for UPST

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • -0.27 for the present operating margin
  • 1.0 for the gross margin

The net margin for Upstart Holdings Inc stands at -0.2. The total capital return value is set at -0.08. Equity return is now at value -10.30, with -3.15 for asset returns.

Based on Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST), the company’s capital structure generated 0.7 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.13. The debt to equity ratio resting at 2.29. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is -3.59.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is -111.87 million with net debt to EBITDA at -5.94. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 8.19. The receivables turnover for the company is 4.97for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.27. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 5.25.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) has had a mixed performance lately. Opinion on the stock among analysts is mixed, with some giving it a “buy” rating and others a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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