Geo Group, Inc (GEO) Shares Decline Despite Market Challenges

The stock price of Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) has dropped by -5.24 compared to previous close of 30.37. Despite this, the company has seen a fall of -7.99% in its stock price over the last five trading days. zacks.com reported 2025-05-07 that Geo Group (GEO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.18 per share a year ago.

Is It Worth Investing in Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) Right Now?

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) has a price-to-earnings ratio of 150.92x that is above its average ratio. Additionally, the 36-month beta value for GEO is 0.84. There are mixed opinions on the stock, with 4 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 0 rating it as “overweight,” 0 rating it as “hold,” and 0 rating it as “sell.”

The public float for GEO is 134.47M and currently, short sellers hold a 7.71% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of GEO on May 07, 2025 was 2.96M shares.

GEO’s Market Performance

GEO’s stock has seen a -7.99% decrease for the week, with a 4.96% rise in the past month and a 1.34% gain in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 3.48%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 5.96% for Geo Group, Inc. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is -3.42% for GEO’s stock, with a 25.82% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of GEO

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for GEO stocks, with Noble Capital Markets repeating the rating for GEO by listing it as a “Outperform.” The predicted price for GEO in the upcoming period, according to Noble Capital Markets is $32 based on the research report published on March 05, 2025 of the current year 2025.

Northland Capital gave a rating of “Outperform” to GEO, setting the target price at $14 in the report published on October 02nd of the previous year.

GEO Trading at 1.87% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought GEO to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -21.06% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 5.96%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 3.48%, as shares surge +7.88% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +10.09% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, GEO fell by -9.06%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +74.10% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $29.78. In addition, Geo Group, Inc saw 2.86% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at GEO starting from March Shayn P., who sale 7,500 shares at the price of $30.00 back on Mar 27 ’25. After this action, March Shayn P. now owns 67,469 shares of Geo Group, Inc, valued at $225,000 using the latest closing price.

March Shayn P., the Officer of Geo Group, Inc, proposed sale 7,500 shares at $30.00 during a trade that took place back on Mar 27 ’25, which means that March Shayn P. is holding shares at $225,000 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for GEO

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.13 for the present operating margin
  • 0.42 for the gross margin

The net margin for Geo Group, Inc stands at 0.01. The total capital return value is set at 0.09. Equity return is now at value 2.08, with 0.75 for asset returns.

Based on Geo Group, Inc (GEO), the company’s capital structure generated 0.58 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.13. The debt to equity ratio resting at 1.36. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 1.63.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 355.44 million with net debt to EBITDA at 3.98. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 2.38. The receivables turnover for the company is 6.45for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.67.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Geo Group, Inc (GEO) has seen better performance in recent times. Analysts have a bullish opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others rating it as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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