Understanding the 6.06% Volatility Levels of Geo Group, Inc’s (GEO) Stock in the Past 30 Days

The stock of Geo Group, Inc (GEO) has seen a 3.43% increase in the past week, with a 7.99% gain in the past month, and a 1.26% flourish in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 3.54%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 6.06% for GEO. The simple moving average for the last 20 days is 6.20% for GEO’s stock, with a simple moving average of 37.89% for the last 200 days.

Is It Worth Investing in Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) Right Now?

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) has a price-to-earnings ratio of 164.45x that is above its average ratio. Additionally, the 36-month beta value for GEO is 0.83. There are mixed opinions on the stock, with 4 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 0 rating it as “overweight,” 0 rating it as “hold,” and 0 rating it as “sell.”

The public float for GEO is 134.47M and currently, short sellers hold a 7.71% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of GEO on May 06, 2025 was 2.91M shares.

GEO) stock’s latest price update

The stock price of Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) has dropped by -0.98 compared to previous close of 31.67. Despite this, the company has seen a gain of 3.43% in its stock price over the last five trading days. https://www.patch.com reported 2025-05-05 that NEWARK, NJ — U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has begun housing prisoners at a controversial new immigration detention facility in New Jersey’s largest city, the agency says. On Monday, a spokesperson confirmed that ICE started housing detainees at Delaney Hall in Newark on May 1. No data was immediately available about how many detainees are currently at the facility – which has seen harsh criticism and protest from immigrant rights advocates and local officials. Updates statistics that could include Delaney Hall will be available within the coming weeks at the federal agency’s enforcement data website, ICE spokespeople told Patch. The mayor’s office is planning to hold a news conference to discuss updates on Delaney Hall on Monday morning. Check back for updates. In February, federal officials announced plans to reopen Delaney Hall in Newark. The 1,000-bed facility will be the first federal detention center to open under President Donald Trump’s second term. Read More: ICE Detention Center In NJ Is First To Open Under Trump’s New Term The move will allow ICE to expand its detention capacity in the Northeast region of the country. It will also aid with deportations. Trump has insisted that a nationwide crackdown is needed to push back against a “large-scale invasion” of illegal immigration. “This cannot stand,” Trump said after being inaugurated for his second term. “A nation without borders is not a nation, and the federal government must act with urgency and strength to end the threats posed by an unsecured border.” The facility’s owner, the GEO Group – one of the largest private prison companies in the nation – was recently awarded a 15-year contract that it valued at $1 billion to run the new detention center. “We are continuing to prepare for what we believe is an unprecedented opportunity to help the federal government meet its expanded immigration enforcement priorities,” GEO Group executive chair George Zoley said. Meanwhile, advocates have argued that the reopening of Delaney Hall – which formerly held immigration detainees until it closed in 2017 and was turned into a halfway house – is a severe blow to constitutional rights. It’s also a violation of New Jersey state law, advocates say. Under a 2021 state law, all prisons in New Jersey – public or private – are banned from making new contracts with ICE to hold federal detainees. Prisons also can’t expand or renew old agreements. The law has seen pushback since Gov. Phil Murphy signed it in 2021, however. The GEO Group and CoreCivic – which runs the Elizabeth Detention Center in Union County – have challenged the state ban in court. The administration of former president Joe Biden took the side of private prison companies in that case, arguing that ICE needed detention centers near airports to expedite operations. A judge ruled in 2023 that CoreCivic could keep its jail in Elizabeth open. Federal authorities and prison companies are now seeking to add more detention space in New Jersey, despite the state’s ban. Trump’s immigration crackdown will likely create a massive profit for the GEO Group and CoreCivic. According to the GEO Group, the 15-year, fixed-price contract for Delaney Hall is expected to generate in excess of $60 million in annualized revenues for GEO in the first full year of operations. The company estimated the 15-year value of the contract with normal cost of living adjustments to be approximately $1 billion. According to Open Secrets, the GEO Group spent $1.38 million lobbying the federal government in 2024, and CoreCivic spent $1.77 million. Much of their focus was the appropriations bill funding the Department of Homeland Security, which includes the budget for ICE. The day after Trump was reelected to his second term, the companies’ stock prices soared: GEO Group’s by about 41 percent and CoreCivic’s by nearly 29 percent. The reopening of Delaney Hall has seen a vocal outcry from immigrant rights supporters and some North Jersey residents. Hundreds of people gathered outside the facility in March, demanding that ICE put the reopening on ice. “Nearly 25 percent of New Jersey’s population are immigrants,” an advocate charged. “ICE has no place here.” Activists have continued to defend the state’s 2021 ban on ICE prison contracts, rallying in Philadelphia at a federal Third Circuit Court on May 1 to fight back against detention expansion in New Jersey. “Mass detention is a cruel, failed system that inflicts irreparable harm on our communities – it has no place in our state,” urged Amy Torres, executive director of the New Jersey Alliance for Immigrant Justice. “Our communities are watching, and we won’t stop until the ICE detention ban is fully defended and upheld,” agreed Eliana Fernandez, director of organizing at Make the Road New Jersey. The reopening of Delaney Hall has also seen pushback from city officials, who issued a “stop work” order in late March. Newark Mayor Ras Baraka accused ICE of opening the facility “without following proper building safety protocols” and without the necessary construction permits, continued certificates of occupancy and requests to change the building’s use. “They failed to give city officials access to conduct inspections required under municipal ordinances and state code,” the mayor alleged. “This violates city and state law.” The march towards reopening Delany Hall has continued despite this opposition, with ICE slamming the city’s legal pushback as “aggressive and legally unjustified.” Although the focus on federal immigration enforcement has ramped up since Trump took office, ICE raids also took place in New Jersey during Biden’s watch. Read More: NJ Activists Say Biden’s Playbook On Immigration Is Similar To Trump’s A major immigration sweep took place in North Jersey the week before Trump’s inauguration, with ICE’s Newark field office arresting 33 non-citizens who have committed or been accused of crimes. Read More: Newark ICE Office Makes 33 Arrests, Deportations Loom The Newark field office is located at 970 Broad Street, and processes federal detainees from across the state. Prior to New Jersey’s ban on ICE contracts took effect, hundreds of people were being arrested and deported from the office every month. Read More: ICE In NJ Deported 500 People From Country In 3 Months, Feds Say Send local news tips and correction requests to eric.kiefer@patch.com. Learn more about advertising on Patch here. Find out how to post announcements or events to your local Patch site.

Analysts’ Opinion of GEO

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for GEO stocks, with Noble Capital Markets repeating the rating for GEO by listing it as a “Outperform.” The predicted price for GEO in the upcoming period, according to Noble Capital Markets is $32 based on the research report published on March 05, 2025 of the current year 2025.

Northland Capital gave a rating of “Outperform” to GEO, setting the target price at $14 in the report published on October 02nd of the previous year.

GEO Trading at 11.61% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought GEO to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -13.99% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 6.06%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 3.54%, as shares surge +16.11% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +23.76% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, GEO rose by +3.43%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +82.11% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $29.53. In addition, Geo Group, Inc saw 12.08% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at GEO starting from March Shayn P., who sale 7,500 shares at the price of $30.00 back on Mar 27 ’25. After this action, March Shayn P. now owns 67,469 shares of Geo Group, Inc, valued at $225,000 using the latest closing price.

March Shayn P., the Officer of Geo Group, Inc, proposed sale 7,500 shares at $30.00 during a trade that took place back on Mar 27 ’25, which means that March Shayn P. is holding shares at $225,000 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for GEO

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.13 for the present operating margin
  • 0.42 for the gross margin

The net margin for Geo Group, Inc stands at 0.01. The total capital return value is set at 0.09. Equity return is now at value 2.08, with 0.75 for asset returns.

Based on Geo Group, Inc (GEO), the company’s capital structure generated 0.58 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.13. The debt to equity ratio resting at 1.36. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 1.63.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 355.44 million with net debt to EBITDA at 3.98. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 2.56. The receivables turnover for the company is 6.45for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.67.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Geo Group, Inc (GEO) has seen better performance in recent times. Analysts have a bullish opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others rating it as a “hold”. It is worth mentioning that the stock is currently trading in close proximity to its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high..

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