ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (NYSE: ZTO) has seen a rise in its stock price by 3.56 in relation to its previous close of 18.25. However, the company has experienced a 4.88% gain in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-03-25 that ZTO Express’ Q4 2024 results showed double-digit growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted net income, but parcel volume growth lagged behind the industry. Persistent strategic ambiguity and intense competition in China’s express delivery market limit ZTO’s potential for market re-rating, justifying a “hold” rating. Despite increasing ASP and higher margins, ZTO’s market share declined, reflecting management’s struggle to balance profitability and volume growth.
Is It Worth Investing in ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (NYSE: ZTO) Right Now?
The price-to-earnings ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (NYSE: ZTO) is 12.77x, which is above its average ratio. Moreover, the 36-month beta value for ZTO is -0.10. Analysts have varying opinions on the stock, with 14 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 5 as “overweight,” 3 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”
The public float for ZTO is 587.06M and currently, short sellers hold a 2.59% of that float. On April 15, 2025, ZTO’s average trading volume was 2.87M shares.
ZTO’s Market Performance
ZTO’s stock has seen a 4.88% increase for the week, with a -5.36% drop in the past month and a 4.42% gain in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 6.32%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 3.65% for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR The simple moving average for the last 20 days is -2.22% for ZTO stock, with a simple moving average of -8.39% for the last 200 days.
Analysts’ Opinion of ZTO
JP Morgan, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see ZTO reach a price target of $23, previously predicting the price at $25. The rating they have provided for ZTO stocks is “Neutral” according to the report published on March 20th, 2025.
HSBC Securities gave a rating of “Hold” to ZTO, setting the target price at $20 in the report published on January 21st of the current year.
ZTO Trading at -3.50% from the 50-Day Moving Average
After a stumble in the market that brought ZTO to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -31.27% of loss for the given period.
Volatility was left at 3.65%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 6.32%, as shares sank -8.83% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +1.29% upper at present.
During the last 5 trading sessions, ZTO rose by +4.88%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by -10.43% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $19.33. In addition, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR saw -3.32% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.
Insider Trading
Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at ZTO starting from ZTO ES HOLDING LIMITED, who proposed sale 350,000 shares at the price of $19.98 back on Mar 26 ’25. After this action, ZTO ES HOLDING LIMITED now owns shares of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR, valued at $6,993,000 using the latest closing price.
ZTO ES HOLDING LIMITED, the Other: Shareholder of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR, proposed sale 200,000 shares at $19.00 during a trade that took place back on Dec 02 ’24, which means that ZTO ES HOLDING LIMITED is holding shares at $3,800,000 based on the most recent closing price.
Stock Fundamentals for ZTO
Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:
- 0.27 for the present operating margin
- 0.31 for the gross margin
The net margin for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR stands at 0.2. The total capital return value is set at 0.18. Equity return is now at value 14.45, with 9.74 for asset returns.
Based on ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (ZTO), the company’s capital structure generated 0.22 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.66. The debt to equity ratio resting at 0.28. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 44.25.
Currently, EBITDA for the company is 14.8 billion with net debt to EBITDA at 0.28. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 2.47. The receivables turnover for the company is 26.49for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.48. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.07.
Conclusion
To wrap up, the performance of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (ZTO) has been mixed in recent times. The stock has received a mixed of “buy” and “hold” ratings from analysts. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.
