Warner Music Group Corp (WMG) Beta Value: Understanding the Market Risk

The price-to-earnings ratio for Warner Music Group Corp (NASDAQ: WMG) is above average at 32.07x. The 36-month beta value for WMG is also noteworthy at 1.32. There are mixed opinions on the stock, with 8 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 5 rating it as “overweight,” 5 rating it as “hold,” and 1 rating it as “sell.”

The public float for WMG is 136.01M, and at present, short sellers hold a 5.80% of that float. The average trading volume of WMG on April 02, 2025 was 2.07M shares.

WMG) stock’s latest price update

Warner Music Group Corp (NASDAQ: WMG) has seen a decline in its stock price by -0.19 in relation to its previous close of 31.32. However, the company has experienced a -4.84% decline in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. globenewswire.com reported 2025-02-14 that NEW YORK, Feb. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Warner Music Group Corp. (“Warner Music Group” or “WMG”) today announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share on WMG’s Class A Common Stock and Class B Common Stock. The dividend is payable on March 4, 2025, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on February 24, 2025.

WMG’s Market Performance

Warner Music Group Corp (WMG) has seen a -4.84% fall in stock performance for the week, with a -5.53% decline in the past month and a 0.97% surge in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 2.36%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 2.70% for WMG. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is -4.28% for WMG’s stock, with a -0.14% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of WMG

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for WMG stocks, with FBN Securities repeating the rating for WMG by listing it as a “Sector Perform.” The predicted price for WMG in the upcoming period, according to FBN Securities is $35 based on the research report published on March 28, 2025 of the current year 2025.

Citigroup, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see WMG reach a price target of $42, previously predicting the price at $34. The rating they have provided for WMG stocks is “Buy” according to the report published on February 14th, 2025.

Guggenheim gave a rating of “Buy” to WMG, setting the target price at $40 in the report published on January 08th of the current year.

WMG Trading at -5.24% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought WMG to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -14.68% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 2.70%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 2.36%, as shares sank -6.17% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +4.36% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, WMG fell by -4.63%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by -1.10% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $32.66. In addition, Warner Music Group Corp saw 0.84% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at WMG starting from Blavatnik Valentin, who sale 28,230 shares at the price of $35.45 back on Feb 20 ’25. After this action, Blavatnik Valentin now owns 68,264 shares of Warner Music Group Corp, valued at $1,000,754 using the latest closing price.

Matusch Timothy, the EVP Strategy & Operations of Warner Music Group Corp, sale 1,103 shares at $36.49 during a trade that took place back on Feb 14 ’25, which means that Matusch Timothy is holding 88,649 shares at $40,248 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for WMG

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.13 for the present operating margin
  • 0.46 for the gross margin

The net margin for Warner Music Group Corp stands at 0.08. The total capital return value is set at 0.16. Equity return is now at value 100.20, with 5.57 for asset returns.

Based on Warner Music Group Corp (WMG), the company’s capital structure generated 0.89 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.19. The debt to equity ratio resting at 7.75. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 5.09.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 1.09 billion with net debt to EBITDA at 2.47. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 3.11. The receivables turnover for the company is 5.28for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.69. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 0.69.

Conclusion

In summary, Warner Music Group Corp (WMG) has had a mixed performance as of late. Analysts have bullish opinions on the stock, with some viewing it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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