Assessing the Risk and Potential of Vistra Corp’s (VST) Stock

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The stock of Vistra Corp (VST) has gone down by -8.83% for the week, with a -8.43% drop in the past month and a -16.96% drop in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 5.05%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are 6.66% for VST. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is -3.44% for VST’s stock, with a -2.04% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Is It Worth Investing in Vistra Corp (NYSE: VST) Right Now?

The price-to-earnings ratio for Vistra Corp (NYSE: VST) is above average at 16.84x. The 36-month beta value for VST is also noteworthy at 1.22. There are mixed opinions on the stock, with 10 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 5 rating it as “overweight,” 1 rating it as “hold,” and 1 rating it as “sell.”

The public float for VST is 335.93M, and at present, short sellers hold a 2.08% of that float. The average trading volume of VST on March 31, 2025 was 9.08M shares.

VST) stock’s latest price update

Vistra Corp (NYSE: VST) has seen a decline in its stock price by -0.22 in relation to its previous close of 119.31. However, the company has experienced a -8.83% decline in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. zacks.com reported 2025-03-28 that Vistra stock enjoys the benefits of rising demand in its service territories. Yet, it is trading at a premium, so new investors should wait and look for a better entry point ahead.

Analysts’ Opinion of VST

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for VST stocks, with Daiwa Securities repeating the rating for VST by listing it as a “Neutral.” The predicted price for VST in the upcoming period, according to Daiwa Securities is $120 based on the research report published on March 05, 2025 of the current year 2025.

BofA Securities, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see VST reach a price target of $152, previously predicting the price at $164. The rating they have provided for VST stocks is “Buy” according to the report published on March 04th, 2025.

BofA Securities gave a rating of “Neutral” to VST, setting the target price at $206 in the report published on January 27th of the current year.

VST Trading at -19.32% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought VST to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -40.43% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 6.66%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 5.05%, as shares sank -10.93% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -29.63% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, VST fell by -8.83%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +34.95% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $123.30. In addition, Vistra Corp saw -13.65% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at VST starting from Pitesa John William, who purchase 1,500 shares at the price of $126.75 back on Mar 12 ’25. After this action, Pitesa John William now owns 3,467 shares of Vistra Corp, valued at $190,125 using the latest closing price.

BARBAS PAUL M, the Director of Vistra Corp, sale 24,136 shares at $124.19 during a trade that took place back on Mar 03 ’25, which means that BARBAS PAUL M is holding 51,063 shares at $2,997,428 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for VST

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.24 for the present operating margin
  • 0.44 for the gross margin

The net margin for Vistra Corp stands at 0.15. The total capital return value is set at 0.14. Equity return is now at value 48.89, with 7.11 for asset returns.

Based on Vistra Corp (VST), the company’s capital structure generated 0.76 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.26. The debt to equity ratio resting at 3.12. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 4.75.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 6.96 billion with net debt to EBITDA at 2.33. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 3.29. The receivables turnover for the company is 8.66for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.46. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 0.96.

Conclusion

In summary, Vistra Corp (VST) has had a bad performance as of late. Analysts have bullish opinions on the stock, with some viewing it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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