Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Stock: Understanding the Volatility

The stock of Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) has gone down by -1.16% for the week, with a -16.66% drop in the past month and a -15.31% drop in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 4.14%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are 5.73% for AAP. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is -2.31% for AAP’s stock, with a -22.29% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Is It Worth Investing in Advance Auto Parts Inc (NYSE: AAP) Right Now?

The stock has a 36-month beta value of 1.12. Opinions on the stock are mixed, with 2 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 1 as “overweight,” 23 as “hold,” and 1 as “sell.”

The public float for AAP is 58.86M, and at present, short sellers hold a 14.34% of that float. On March 19, 2025, the average trading volume of AAP was 2.24M shares.

AAP) stock’s latest price update

Advance Auto Parts Inc (NYSE: AAP) has experienced a decline in its stock price by -1.52 compared to its previous closing price of 37.72. However, the company has seen a fall of -1.16% in its stock price over the last five trading days. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-03-11 that Advance Auto Parts may be down 85% from its peak, but it’s beginning to show plenty of promise, with investors no where close to pricing in the potential upside. Despite disappointing Q4 results, including a significant EPS crash and margin contraction, the company’s restructuring efforts and future guidance offer plenty of optimism. The sale of Worldpac for $1.45 billion will also help to drastically reduce debt, while ahead-of-schedule store closures are expected to boost EPS and financial stability going into H2.

Analysts’ Opinion of AAP

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for AAP stocks, with BMO Capital Markets repeating the rating for AAP by listing it as a “Market Perform.” The predicted price for AAP in the upcoming period, according to BMO Capital Markets is $45 based on the research report published on December 13, 2024 of the previous year 2024.

ROTH MKM, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see AAP reach a price target of $40. The rating they have provided for AAP stocks is “Neutral” according to the report published on October 16th, 2024.

Wedbush gave a rating of “Outperform” to AAP, setting the target price at $55 in the report published on October 15th of the previous year.

AAP Trading at -14.48% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought AAP to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -58.06% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 5.73%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 4.14%, as shares sank -16.31% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -19.96% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, AAP fell by -1.30%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by -44.61% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $38.02. In addition, Advance Auto Parts Inc saw -21.45% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at AAP starting from OKelly Shane M, who purchase 1,500 shares at the price of $36.79 back on Mar 11 ’25. After this action, OKelly Shane M now owns 183,121 shares of Advance Auto Parts Inc, valued at $55,185 using the latest closing price.

LEE EUGENE I JR, the Director of Advance Auto Parts Inc, purchase 14,640 shares at $34.15 during a trade that took place back on Mar 06 ’25, which means that LEE EUGENE I JR is holding 34,070 shares at $499,956 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for AAP

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • -0.06 for the present operating margin
  • 0.37 for the gross margin

The net margin for Advance Auto Parts Inc stands at -0.03. The total capital return value is set at -0.11. Equity return is now at value -23.45, with -4.50 for asset returns.

Based on Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP), the company’s capital structure generated 0.63 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.02. The debt to equity ratio resting at 1.7. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is -8.15.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is -395.08 million with net debt to EBITDA at -5.25. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 0.4. The receivables turnover for the company is 18.81for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.95. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.32.

Conclusion

To sum up, Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) has seen a bad performance recently. Analysts have differing views on the stock, with some seeing it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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