Navigating the Volatility of Geo Group, Inc’s (GEO) Stock

The stock of Geo Group, Inc (GEO) has gone up by 0.23% for the week, with a -17.80% drop in the past month and a -9.72% drop in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 9.17%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are 6.77% for GEO. The simple moving average for the last 20 days is -4.19% for GEO stock, with a simple moving average of 31.51% for the last 200 days.

Is It Worth Investing in Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) Right Now?

The price-to-earnings ratio for Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) is above average at 135.82x, Company’s 36-month beta value is 0.81.Analysts have differing opinions on the stock, with 3 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 0 as “overweight,” 1 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”

The public float for GEO is 132.78M, and currently, short sellers hold a 6.75% ratio of that floaft. The average trading volume of GEO on March 05, 2025 was 2.83M shares.

GEO) stock’s latest price update

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO)’s stock price has plunge by -1.26relation to previous closing price of 26.23. Nevertheless, the company has seen a 0.23% surge in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-02-27 that The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 27, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Pablo Paez – EVP, Corporate Relations George Zoley – Executive Chairman Mark Suchinski – CFO David Donahue – CEO Wayne Calabrese – President and COO Conference Call Participants Matthew Erdner – JonesTrading Jay McCanless – Wedbush Securities Greg Gibas – Northland Securities Brendan McCarthy – Sidoti Joshua Zoepfel – Noble Capital Markets Jordan Hymowitz – Philadelphia Financial Operator Good day and welcome to The GEO Group Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode.

Analysts’ Opinion of GEO

Northland Capital, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see GEO reach a price target of $14. The rating they have provided for GEO stocks is “Outperform” according to the report published on October 02nd, 2023.

Wedbush gave a rating of “Outperform” to GEO, setting the target price at $14 in the report published on November 29th of the previous year.

GEO Trading at -11.00% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought GEO to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -28.96% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 6.77%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 9.17%, as shares sank -16.37% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -5.92% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, GEO rose by +0.23%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +97.41% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $27.03. In addition, Geo Group, Inc saw -7.43% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at GEO starting from Brack Ronald A., who sale 5,000 shares at the price of $28.28 back on Dec 09 ’24. After this action, Brack Ronald A. now owns 71,978 shares of Geo Group, Inc, valued at $141,400 using the latest closing price.

Brack Ronald A., the Officer of Geo Group, Inc, proposed sale 5,000 shares at $28.28 during a trade that took place back on Dec 09 ’24, which means that Brack Ronald A. is holding shares at $141,400 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for GEO

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.14 for the present operating margin
  • 0.43 for the gross margin

The net margin for Geo Group, Inc stands at 0.02. The total capital return value is set at 0.1. Equity return is now at value 2.08, with 0.75 for asset returns.

Based on Geo Group, Inc (GEO), the company’s capital structure generated 0.58 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.15. The debt to equity ratio resting at 1.36. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 1.67.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 404.97 million with net debt to EBITDA at 3.75. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 2.2. The receivables turnover for the company is 6.6for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.67.

Conclusion

In a nutshell, Geo Group, Inc (GEO) has experienced a mixed performance in recent times. The stock has received mixed “buy” and “hold” ratings from analysts. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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