Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Shares Rise Despite Market Challenges

The stock of Blue Bird Corp (NASDAQ: BLBD) has increased by 0.39 when compared to last closing price of 36.21.Despite this, the company has seen a loss of -4.37% in its stock price over the last five trading days. seekingalpha.com reported 2025-02-14 that Blue Bird Corporation remains a “Strong Buy” due to its solid backlog, strong funding, and undervaluation, despite recent stock price underperformance. The company reported strong Q1 FY2025 results, with $313.9 million in sales and $45.6 million in adjusted EBITDA, beating internal and consensus estimates. Management’s guidance suggests continued growth, targeting 14.5-15% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2028, supported by increasing EV orders and strategic price adjustments.

Is It Worth Investing in Blue Bird Corp (NASDAQ: BLBD) Right Now?

The price-to-earnings ratio for Blue Bird Corp (NASDAQ: BLBD) is 11.25x, which is above its average ratio. Moreover, the 36-month beta value for BLBD is 1.57. Analysts have varying opinions on the stock, with 4 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 2 as “overweight,” 1 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”

The public float for BLBD is 31.49M and currently, short sellers hold a 17.99% of that float. On February 17, 2025, BLBD’s average trading volume was 783.52K shares.

BLBD’s Market Performance

BLBD’s stock has seen a -4.37% decrease for the week, with a -13.96% drop in the past month and a -10.64% fall in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 4.30%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 5.09% for Blue Bird Corp. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is -3.27% for BLBD’s stock, with a -20.53% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of BLBD

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for BLBD stocks, with BTIG Research repeating the rating for BLBD by listing it as a “Buy.” The predicted price for BLBD in the upcoming period, according to BTIG Research is $55 based on the research report published on October 09, 2024 of the previous year 2024.

ROTH MKM, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see BLBD reach a price target of $48. The rating they have provided for BLBD stocks is “Neutral” according to the report published on October 03rd, 2024.

Needham gave a rating of “Buy” to BLBD, setting the target price at $65 in the report published on July 17th of the previous year.

BLBD Trading at -8.18% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought BLBD to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -38.80% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 5.09%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 4.30%, as shares sank -14.17% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -14.33% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, BLBD fell by -4.37%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +5.30% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $37.58. In addition, Blue Bird Corp saw -5.90% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further losses.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at BLBD starting from Radulescu Razvan, who sale 2,848 shares at the price of $38.12 back on Feb 10 ’25. After this action, Radulescu Razvan now owns 88,664 shares of Blue Bird Corp, valued at $108,566 using the latest closing price.

Radulescu Razvan, the Officer of Blue Bird Corp, proposed sale 2,848 shares at $38.01 during a trade that took place back on Feb 10 ’25, which means that Radulescu Razvan is holding shares at $108,250 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for BLBD

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.1 for the present operating margin
  • 0.19 for the gross margin

The net margin for Blue Bird Corp stands at 0.08. The total capital return value is set at 0.44. Equity return is now at value 84.71, with 22.37 for asset returns.

Based on Blue Bird Corp (BLBD), the company’s capital structure generated 0.34 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 1.46. The debt to equity ratio resting at 0.52. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 15.17.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 152.34 million with net debt to EBITDA at -0.27. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 0.84. The receivables turnover for the company is 95.98for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 2.51. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.44.

Conclusion

To wrap up, the performance of Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) has been bad in recent times. The stock has received a bullish of “buy” and “hold” ratings from analysts. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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