Geo Group, Inc (GEO): A Technical Analysis

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) has a higher price-to-earnings ratio of 106.83x compared to its average ratio. GEO has 36-month beta value of 0.86. Analysts have mixed views on the stock, with 3 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 0 as “overweight,” 1 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”

The public float for GEO is 132.64M, and currently, short sellers hold a 7.99% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of GEO on December 17, 2024 was 3.26M shares.

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GEO) stock’s latest price update

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) has experienced a decline in its stock price by -2.69 compared to its previous closing price of 27.73. However, the company has seen a fall of -3.39% in its stock price over the last five trading days. businesswire.com reported 2024-12-16 that BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (“GEO” or the “Company”) announced today a $70 million investment in capital expenditures to strengthen the Company’s capabilities to deliver expanded detention capacity, secure transportation, and electronic monitoring services to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”). GEO is currently the largest service provider to ICE, currently providing approximately 21,000 detention beds (with a present census of 14,000) at 16.

GEO’s Market Performance

GEO’s stock has fallen by -3.39% in the past week, with a monthly rise of 1.44% and a quarterly rise of 115.70%. The volatility ratio for the week is 3.94% while the volatility levels for the last 30 days are 5.11% for Geo Group, Inc The simple moving average for the past 20 days is -3.83% for GEO’s stock, with a 69.31% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of GEO

Northland Capital, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see GEO reach a price target of $14. The rating they have provided for GEO stocks is “Outperform” according to the report published on October 02nd, 2023.

Wedbush gave a rating of “Outperform” to GEO, setting the target price at $14 in the report published on November 29th of the previous year.

GEO Trading at 22.35% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought GEO to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -9.63% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 5.11%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 3.94%, as shares surge +2.60% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +97.27% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, GEO fell by -3.10%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +130.34% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $28.06. In addition, Geo Group, Inc saw 149.16% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at GEO starting from Brack Ronald A., who sale 5,000 shares at the price of $28.28 back on Dec 09 ’24. After this action, Brack Ronald A. now owns 71,978 shares of Geo Group, Inc, valued at $141,400 using the latest closing price.

Brack Ronald A., the Officer of Geo Group, Inc, proposed sale 5,000 shares at $28.28 during a trade that took place back on Dec 09 ’24, which means that Brack Ronald A. is holding shares at $141,400 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for GEO

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.14 for the present operating margin
  • 0.43 for the gross margin

The net margin for Geo Group, Inc stands at 0.02. The total capital return value is set at 0.1. Equity return is now at value 3.13, with 1.09 for asset returns.

Based on Geo Group, Inc (GEO), the company’s capital structure generated 0.56 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.16. The debt to equity ratio resting at 1.29. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is 1.67.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 478.17 million with net debt to EBITDA at 3.74. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 2.27. The receivables turnover for the company is 6.6for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.67.

Conclusion

To put it simply, Geo Group, Inc (GEO) has had a better performance in recent times. Analysts have a bullish opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It is worth mentioning that the stock is currently trading in close proximity to its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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