Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Shares Decline Despite Market Challenges

The stock of Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE: MSDL) has decreased by -0.44 when compared to last closing price of 20.57.Despite this, the company has seen a gain of 0.94% in its stock price over the last five trading days. seekingalpha.com reported 2024-11-20 that When investing for 10%+ BDC yields, investors have to pay extra attention to leverage, dividend coverage, and portfolio quality. Going into Q3, 2024 earnings season, my expectation was that we would see elevated volatility levels and falling NII results. While the actual results have been mostly positive for high-quality BDCs (and even for some speculative picks), many risks remain open.

Is It Worth Investing in Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE: MSDL) Right Now?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE: MSDL) has a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.04x that is above its average ratio. There are mixed opinions on the stock, with 1 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 1 rating it as “overweight,” 5 rating it as “hold,” and 0 rating it as “sell.”

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The public float for MSDL is 88.59M and currently, short sellers hold a 0.15% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of MSDL on November 21, 2024 was 320.08K shares.

MSDL’s Market Performance

MSDL’s stock has seen a 0.94% increase for the week, with a 4.69% rise in the past month and a 1.29% gain in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 1.73%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 1.82% for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund The simple moving average for the last 20 days is 2.20% for MSDL’s stock, with a simple moving average of -2.11% for the last 200 days.

Analysts’ Opinion of MSDL

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for MSDL stocks, with UBS repeating the rating for MSDL by listing it as a “Neutral.” The predicted price for MSDL in the upcoming period, according to UBS is $23.50 based on the research report published on July 18, 2024 of the current year 2024.

Wells Fargo gave a rating of “Equal Weight” to MSDL, setting the target price at $21 in the report published on February 20th of the current year.

MSDL Trading at 2.57% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought MSDL to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -14.45% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 1.82%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 1.73%, as shares surge +4.70% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading +2.30% upper at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, MSDL rose by +0.94%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +0.64% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $20.07. In addition, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund saw 0.22% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at MSDL starting from FRANK BRUCE D, who purchase 420 shares at the price of $20.50 back on Nov 11 ’24. After this action, FRANK BRUCE D now owns 3,695 shares of Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund, valued at $8,608 using the latest closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for MSDL

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • 0.19 for the present operating margin
  • 0.87 for the gross margin

The net margin for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund stands at 0.62. The total capital return value is set at 0.02. Equity return is now at value 13.27, with 6.26 for asset returns.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 343.9 million with net debt to EBITDA at -0.36. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 4.83. The receivables turnover for the company is 10.64for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.09.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) has seen better performance in recent times. Analysts have a mixed opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others rating it as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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