Examining the Volatility of Alcoa Corp’s (AA) Stock

The stock of Alcoa Corp (AA) has seen a -0.78% decrease in the past week, with a 5.26% gain in the past month, and a -15.61% decrease in the past quarter. The volatility ratio for the week is 3.17%, and the volatility levels for the past 30 days are at 3.71% for AA. The simple moving average for the past 20 days is 6.74% for AA’s stock, with a 2.00% simple moving average for the past 200 days.

Is It Worth Investing in Alcoa Corp (NYSE: AA) Right Now?

AA has 36-month beta value of 2.42. Analysts have mixed views on the stock, with 6 analysts rating it as a “buy,” 3 as “overweight,” 5 as “hold,” and 0 as “sell.”

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The public float for AA is 256.36M, and currently, short sellers hold a 4.44% ratio of that float. The average trading volume of AA on September 24, 2024 was 6.06M shares.

AA) stock’s latest price update

The stock price of Alcoa Corp (NYSE: AA) has surged by 1.18 when compared to previous closing price of 33.83, but the company has seen a -0.78% decline in its stock price over the last five trading sessions. seekingalpha.com reported 2024-09-23 that Alcoa has shown a turnaround as Q2 earnings improved, driven by aluminum’s rising price and demand, and cost efficiencies implemented. The dividend has remained stable and should be sustainable as future earnings outlooks are positive. A lower debt-to-equity ratio vs key peers can indicate a healthier debt risk at this firm.

Analysts’ Opinion of AA

Many brokerage firms have already submitted their reports for AA stocks, with Wolfe Research repeating the rating for AA by listing it as a “Outperform.” The predicted price for AA in the upcoming period, according to Wolfe Research is $36 based on the research report published on September 04, 2024 of the current year 2024.

UBS, on the other hand, stated in their research note that they expect to see AA reach a price target of $38, previously predicting the price at $32. The rating they have provided for AA stocks is “Buy” according to the report published on August 12th, 2024.

AA Trading at 4.88% from the 50-Day Moving Average

After a stumble in the market that brought AA to its low price for the period of the last 52 weeks, the company was unable to rebound, for now settling with -24.74% of loss for the given period.

Volatility was left at 3.71%, however, over the last 30 days, the volatility rate increased by 3.17%, as shares surge +0.91% for the moving average over the last 20 days. Over the last 50 days, in opposition, the stock is trading -12.12% lower at present.

During the last 5 trading sessions, AA fell by -0.78%, which changed the moving average for the period of 200-days by +35.62% in comparison to the 20-day moving average, which settled at $32.08. In addition, Alcoa Corp saw 0.68% in overturn over a single year, with a tendency to cut further gains.

Insider Trading

Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at AA starting from Jones Tammi A, who sale 26,468 shares at the price of $30.78 back on Mar 13 ’24. After this action, Jones Tammi A now owns 41,166 shares of Alcoa Corp, valued at $814,582 using the latest closing price.

Jones Tammi A, the EVP & CHRO of Alcoa Corp, sale 1,440 shares at $30.67 during a trade that took place back on Mar 13 ’24, which means that Jones Tammi A is holding 9,265 shares at $44,165 based on the most recent closing price.

Stock Fundamentals for AA

Current profitability levels for the company are sitting at:

  • -0.01 for the present operating margin
  • 0.03 for the gross margin

The net margin for Alcoa Corp stands at -0.05. The total capital return value is set at -0.01. Equity return is now at value -12.58, with -3.87 for asset returns.

Based on Alcoa Corp (AA), the company’s capital structure generated 0.4 points at debt to capital in total, while cash flow to debt ratio is standing at 0.13. The debt to equity ratio resting at 0.65. The interest coverage ratio of the stock is -1.3.

Currently, EBITDA for the company is 277.0 million with net debt to EBITDA at 1.84. When we switch over and look at the enterprise to sales, we see a ratio of 0.94. The receivables turnover for the company is 9.94for trailing twelve months and the total asset turnover is 0.75. The liquidity ratio also appears to be rather interesting for investors as it stands at 1.55.

Conclusion

To put it simply, Alcoa Corp (AA) has had a mixed performance in recent times. Analysts have a bullish opinion on the stock, with some rating it as a “buy” and others as a “hold”. It’s important to note that the stock is currently trading at a significant distance from its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high.

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